Friday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 86. Northwest wind around 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming northwest after midnight.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT for the entire NJ Coastline. * WHAT...Southerly winds turning from the southeast 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 6 to 9 ft. * WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm. * WHEN...The strongest winds should occur Thursday night into Friday morning. * IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions.
A Flash Flood Watch will go into effect at 5pm until Friday morning as Tropical Storm Elsa moves towards the area. NJ Shore Communities are under a Tropical Storm Watch until Further Notice
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 72. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued until further notice for the NJ/DE coast ahead of Tropical Storm Elsa. Elsa has just made landfall in Fl. We will bring you updates over the next few days.
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- NJ and DE Coastal Areas
* THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Thursday morning until Friday morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot
above ground.
- PREPARE: Complete preparations for storm surge flooding,
especially in low-lying vulnerable areas, before conditions
become unsafe.
- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
your area.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become
overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous
in places where surge water covers the road.
- Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes,
mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
- Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks,
boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from
moorings.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
moderate flooding rain
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
are possible.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action may result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with
swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,
especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,
creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
Have a GREAT day! Stay Cool!
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 103.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73
HOT HOT HOT HOT HOT The heat advisory is NOW in effect until Wed evening.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 103.
Tuesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds.
We are keeping a close eye on Elsa to see how close to the area she gets. If we were to see any impacts from the storm, it would be Thursday into Friday.
Have a fun and safe weekend
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 73.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Independence Day
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Late last night Tropical Storm Elsa was named in the Atlantic Ocean and is expected to head toward the Caribbean by Friday, where warnings have been issued for the Windward and Leeward Islands. Residents of the Caribbean and Florida should track the progress of Elsa closely through the holiday weekend.
A large uncertainty is when and how sharp the system is expected to make a northwestward turn later this weekend and early next week. If Elsa tracks toward Florida, later Monday or Tuesday appears to be the earliest this system could impact parts of South Florida. At this point it is too early to tell if Elsa will cause any issues up the East Coast but we are keeping an eye on the storm.
The Greater Philadelphia Severe Weather Team will bring you the latest on this storm as it tracks towards the US.
Below are two different model, please note these are just for reference NOT for use in decision making purposes.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of northern Delaware...New Jersey...and southeast Pennsylvania...including the following areas...in northern Delaware...New Castle. In New Jersey...Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Northwestern Burlington, Salem, Somerset, and Western Monmouth. In southeast Pennsylvania... Delaware, Eastern Chester, Eastern Montgomery, Lower Bucks, Philadelphia, Upper Bucks, Western Chester, and Western Montgomery. * From 2 PM EDT this afternoon through Friday morning. * Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon through the overnight hours tonight. Rain rates of 2 inches per hour will be possible at times. Widespread total rain amounts of 1 to 3 inches are likely, with locally higher amounts possible. * Heavy rain in short periods of time will cause the potential for streams and creeks to quickly rise out of their banks as well as the potential for flash flooding in urban areas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.