Greater PHila Severe Weather LOGO

Weekend Forecast July 11 & 12, 2020

Have a great weekend.

Saturday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90.

Saturday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.

Sunday
A chance of showers thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 90.

Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73

Hurricane Statement from NWS

The NWS in Mt Holly has issued this Hurricane Local Statement:

**Tropical Storm Fay to Approach the New Jersey Coast**
This product covers NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Atlantic, Atlantic Coastal Cape May, Cape May, Coastal Atlantic, Coastal Ocean, Eastern Monmouth, Middlesex, Ocean, Southeastern Burlington, and Western Monmouth

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Atlantic, Atlantic Coastal Cape May, Cape May, Coastal Atlantic, Coastal Ocean, Eastern Monmouth, Middlesex, Ocean, Southeastern Burlington, and Western Monmouth

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 270 miles south of Atlantic City NJ or about 240 miles south of Cape May NJ
    - 35.5N 74.9W
    - Storm Intensity 45 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 7 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Heavy rain leading to flooding will be possible, especially
along and southeast of the Interstate 95 corridor due to Tropical Storm Fay. Tropical Storm Fay is currently off the Outer Banks. It is expected to progress north over our region through Friday. Heavy rain is possible beginning very late tonight and continuing through Friday evening. The threat for tropical storm winds over land is very low except right along the New Jersey coast.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited impacts along and southeast Interstate 95 corridor. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become swollen and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across New Jersey... and southeastern Pennsylvania. 
Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

* WIND: Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across coastal New Jersey. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across the region, little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded roadway. Remember, turn around don`t drown!

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ around 11 PM, or sooner if conditions warrant.

BREAKING: Tropical Storm FAY has formed off the Carolina Coast. Moving this way

The National Hurricane Center has just named Tropical Storm Fay. This is the earliest six storms have been named in the Atlantic Hurricane Season since 2005. Fay is expected to bring between 2-5″ of rain to parts of the area, flooding, windy conditions as well as chance for tornados. Some models suggest the low comes very close to the area.

CURRENT WEATHER ALERTS:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 4AM TO 8PM FRIDAY
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect fo Cape May New Jersey to Watch Hill Rhode Island including Long Island and Long Island Sound


What Will We See:
Heavy Rain Fall 1-4″ of rain. Some locations could see 4″+
Winds gusting to 45mph along the coast
Isolated Tornados Possible, biggest threat will be Eastern NJ
Biggest threat along i95 will be flash flooding. Please ahead.

TIMING:
Early Morning- Heavy rain moves in from the south
Late Morning/Lunch Time- Heavy Rain moves into most of the area
Late Friday Evening: Heavy Rain from TS Fay moves out.

FAY Current Conditions:
5:00 PM EDT Thu Jul 9
Location: 35.5°N 74.9°W
Moving: N at 7 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph

RAINFALL:  Fay is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain along and near the track of Fay across the mid-Atlantic states into southeast New York and southern New England. These rains may result in flash flooding where the heaviest amounts occur. 

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area on Friday and spread northward  through the warning area Friday night.

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from Cape May New Jersey northward to Watch Hill, Rhode Island, including Long Island and Long Island Sound.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cape May New Jersey to Watch Hill Rhode Island including Long Island and Long Island Sound

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Flash Flood Watch: 

* From late tonight through Friday evening

* Heavy rain associated with a coastal low is expected to start very late tonight and continue through the day on Friday. Widespread amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely with local higher amounts possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that there is the potential for flash flooding which can be life-threatening. Heavy rain is expected to occur over a short period of time. Rapidly rising flood waters may quickly inundate roadways and areas of poor drainage. Streams and creeks could leave their banks, flooding nearby properties.

Please monitor the forecast, especially if you live in a location that is prone to flooding. Be prepared to take action if a flash flood warning is issued for your area.

Daily Forecast Friday July 10, 2020

Today will be a good day to stay inside. 2-4″ of rain possible for some parts of the area. Do NOT travel if you do not have to venture out. Flooding is possible in parts of the area.

Tropical Storm Fay will bring heavy rain to the area. Tropical force winds look to mainly be along the coast.

Friday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 82. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. New precipitation amounts between a three quarters of an inch and an inch possible.

SITUATION OVERVIEW

——————

Heavy rain leading to flooding will be possible, especially along and southeast of the Interstate 95 corridor due to Tropical Storm Fay. Tropical Storm Fay is currently off the Virginia coast. It is expected to progress north over our region through Friday. Heavy rain is possible beginning very late tonight and continuing through Friday evening. The threat for tropical storm winds over land is very low except right along the New Jersey coast.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS

—————–

* FLOODING RAIN:

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant

impacts along and southeast of the Interstate 95 corridor. Potential

impacts include:

– Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and rescues.

– Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches overflow.

– Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.

Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid Linundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* TORNADOES:

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across

New Jersey and southeastern Pennsylvania. Potential impacts include:

– The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

– A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions.

– Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

* WIND:

Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across

coastal New Jersey. Potential impacts in this area include:

– Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

– Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.

– A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

– Scattered power and communications outages.

Our eyes are on a potential tropical storm coming up the East Coast.

The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring Invest 98L as a potential tropical cyclone. This low pressure system is currently forecast to track close to the region later this week into the weekend and could bring an increase in tidal waters and possible heavy rains to the area. 

We are monitoring this system closely at this point there is a high chance of development into a tropical or sub/tropical storm as early as tomorrow as the storms moves up the coast. 

Once this becomes a tropical system we will let you know and share all the latest information. 
Greater PHila Severe Weather LOGO

Daily Forecast July 09, 2020

Our eyes on a possible tropical system that could bring heavy rain to the area over the next few days. If the storm does turn into a tropical system we will let you know.

Thursday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 91.


Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73


Greater PHila Severe Weather LOGO

Daily Forecast July 08, 2020

Have a great day!

Wednesday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91.

Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71

Greater PHila Severe Weather LOGO

Daily Forecast Tuesday July 7, 2020

Today is the 189th day of 2020. Have a great Tuesday!

Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Patchy fog this morning. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 90.

Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72

Breaking: HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* WHAT...Heat index values up to 100 expected.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Mercer, Gloucester, Camden and
  Northwestern Burlington. In Pennsylvania, Delaware,
  Philadelphia, Eastern Chester, Eastern Montgomery and            Lower Bucks. In Delaware, New Castle.

* WHEN...From noon today to 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses to occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles under any circumstances.

Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.