Have a great Monday we will have updates on the track for our potential winter storm later today.
Monday Showers likely, mainly after 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 63. South wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Monday Night A chance of showers, mainly before 10pm. Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 32. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph
The low pressure system that will pass by on Wednesday could bring a few inches of snow to parts of the area highest chance right now is to our south. While at this time things are still very uncertain on how much precip will fall. Take everything with a grain of salt.
The latest model trends have began to keep the low to our southeast which would favor any precipitation to be mostly snow, tho along the coast it could be a rain/snow mix. BUT if this continues to trend to the southeast then most of the precip will be over the ocean and not much over land. The third option is that it moves further northwest resulting in a rain/snow mix for most of us. As you will see below we have two snapshots of two models around the same time, two completely different forecast.
At this point it appears most of this will fall during the day on Wednesday. The big concern would be the wet driving conditions on Wednesday morning. While it is unclear how much snow will fall but if I had to guess right now a general 1-2″ is possible. We will be following the trends overnight and have more on this post updated as models run.
18z Models
The 18z Nam at 69hrs shows snow over most of the area. The 18z GFS at 72 hrs shows light snow/mix over parts of the area. But we can see the main system to the south.
The Lower Bucks Drive-Thru Holiday House Tour is a community event in Lower Bucks County. Your neighbors who love to decorate have signed up to be included on a special tour list. The great folks at Lower Bucks Drive-Thru Holiday House Tour have compiled all the houses and made suggested driving routes so you can enjoy the sights and know exactly where the holiday lights are in your town.
They have put together all five routes below and be sure to click on the suggested GPS link so you can maximize your tour time! Please go like The Lower Bucks Drive-Thru Holiday House Tour at: https://www.facebook.com/lbdrivethruhousetours
At the end of the article we have PDF copies so you can download to view.
Mistletoe Route: Levittown
The Mistletoe route will take around 33 minutes.
Polar Bear Route: Levittown & Langhorne
The Polar Bear Route will take approx 48 minutes. Here are the GPS trips for this route.
Candy Cane Route: Morrisville, Fairless Hills, Yardley, New Hope, & Doylestown
The Candy Cane Route will take approx 1 hour and 20 minutes. Here is the map for this route including GPS link. Candy cane lane: https://goo.gl/maps/ViiKfRYBrT1GjT4J6
Below you can download the route and print if needed.
A low pressure system could bring some winter weather to parts of the Northeast late Tuesday night into Wednesday. While at this point the track is highly uncertain but the threat of winter weather is possible. How much and what type of precipitation is too early to tell at this point but some signs are starting to develop.
If this system tracks to our southeast we might not see much warm air in which case could bring more snow to the area. If the storm tracks over the closer to our region it will bring in warmer air resulting in rain for most of the area. A third option is the track takes the storm further off the coast which would keep most of the precipitation off shore.
The timing in which the precipitation will fall also places a huge factor. If it is a majority falls in the daytime hours we will see more potentially more rain. However if the storm moves into the area in the overnight hours some would potentially see more snow/mix. At this time please take this with a grain of salt.
We are going to be keeping a very close eye on this developing storm and will bring you the latest updates as models run.
The 0zGFS run is showing the Rain/Snow Mix line very close to i95 corridor. While a lot of things can happen between now and Wed. We are going to keep a close eye on this storm and bring you the latest tomorrow afternoon after the 12z runs.
As you can see the 00z GFS shows the Rain/Snow line close to the area. Again this is not a forecast from GPSW we are just sharing what the models are showing at this point.
Here is another model that is around the same time period but shows a different outcome.
