Daily Forecast

Greater PHila Severe Weather LOGO

Daily Forecast Aug 6, 2020

Have a good day!

Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82.

Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69

Greater PHila Severe Weather LOGO

Daily Forecast Aug 5, 2020

Today we will be drying out after Tropical Storm Isaias brought heavy rain and winds to the area.

Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.

Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 65. 

Tropical Storm Isaias Update

We urge everyone to stay home tomorrow late morning to evening. Conditions will worsen as the storm moves up the coast moves up the coast.

We know the information below is a lot, but this key information from the NHC are helpful and very important. 
Tropical Storm Isaias is currently located just offshore of the southeast Georgia coast and will continue northward along the East Coast, likely moving inland over the Carolinas this evening. Isaias will approach Delmarva by late tonight and pass through the region on
Tuesday. Impacts will diminish Tuesday night.

The main threats with this system are heavy rainfall resulting in widespread flash flooding as well as some river flooding, as well as strong and damaging winds, especially near the coast. In addition, minor to potentially moderate coastal flooding, and dangerous marine conditions will occur.

Four to six inches of rain with locally higher amounts will result in flash flooding. Strong winds along the New Jersey and Delaware coasts with wind gusts of 65 to 75 mph are possible, and wind gusts inland will range from 55 to 65 mph. Secondary threats include minor to locally moderate coastal flooding, especially in Chesapeake Bay, as
well as the potential for isolated tornadoes. Dangerous rip currents and 7 to 15 foot seas are also expected over the waters.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS 
* FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across Delmarva, western New Jersey, and southeast Pennsylvania. Potential impacts include: 
  - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. 

  - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas, destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. 

  - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant impacts across coastal New Jersey and Delaware.

 * WIND: 
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across New Jersey, northern Delmarva, and much of southeastern Pennsylvania. Potential impacts in this area include: 

  - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles. 

  - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over. 

  - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable.

  - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent in areas with above ground lines.

* TORNADOES: 
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND. Potential impacts include: 
  - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
  - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. 
  - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS

 * PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: 

Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If heading to a community shelter, become familiar with the shelter rules before arrival, especially if you have special needs or have pets. 

Take essential items with you from your Emergency Supplies Kit. Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly ventilated area. 

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter. 

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded roadway. Remember, turn around don`t drown! 

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter options. If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of strong winds or flooding. 

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather warnings.

Daily Forecast Aug 4, 2020

Tuesday
Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 78. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible

Hurricane Isaias Update: Expected to make landfall as an HURRICANE tonight.

CURRENT WATCHS/WARNINGS:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 12am on Aug 5th.
Tropical Storm Watch

ISAIAS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT AS A HURRICANE… …EXPECTED TO BRING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE EASTERN CAROLINAS TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY…
11:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 3
Location: 30.7°N 80.1°W
Moving: N at 13 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 70 mph

Tropical Storm Isaias is currently located just offshore of the northeast Florida coast. The storm is expected to continue northward along the East Coast. It will likely move inland over the Carolinas this evening and approach our region by late tonight and especially Tuesday. Impacts should diminish by Wednesday morning.

The main threats with this system are heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding and some river flooding, strong winds especially near the coast, minor to potentially moderate coastal flooding, and dangerous marine conditions.

We are most concerned about flash flooding caused by 4 to 6 inches of rain, as well as strong winds along the New Jersey and Delaware coasts with wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph possible. Secondary threats include minor to locally moderate coastal flooding, especially in Chesapeake Bay, as well as the potential for isolated tornadoes. Dangerous rip currents and 8 to 12 foot seas are also expected over the waters.



Along the river and ocean expect to see 1 to 3 feet of storm surge inundation along those area. The Philadelphia metro area will have the greatest threat for FLASH FLOODING rain late tonight into tomorrow.

Tornados: The main threat of isolated tornadoes will be during the day hours on Tuesday. The best chance of an isolated tornado will be along/southeast of i95.



Tropical Storm Watch ISSUED

Tropical Storm Watch issued for all areas shaded above.
TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Watch means tropical storm-force winds are possible somewhere within this area within the next 48 hours

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 50 mph
        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday afternoon until Tuesday evening

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39 to 57 mph
        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm force.
        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
        - Scattered power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
        - Window of concern: Tuesday morning until Tuesday evening

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
      surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
        - PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot
          above ground.
        - PREPARE: Efforts should now be underway to prepare for  storm surge flooding, especially in low-lying vulnerable areas.
        - ACT: Take actions to protect life and property. Prepare to leave if evacuation orders are given for your area.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Localized inundation is possible with storm surge flooding mainly along tidal creeks and rivers and in low-lying spots.
        - Sections of near-river roads and parking lots could become overspread with surge water. Dangerous driving conditions  are possible in places where surge water covers the road.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally higher amounts

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for  major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely.
        - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take  action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
        - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
        - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas, destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed.
        - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a few tornadoes.
        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives.
        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

Tropical Storm Isaias Update:

11:00 AM EDT Sun Aug 2
Location: 26.9°N 79.6°W
Moving: NNW at 8 mph
Min pressure: 995 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

At this hour Isaias have been downgraded to a tropical storm, while the storm was downgraded please note that this is a strong powerful storm. Isaias will bring between 2-5″ of rain (locally higher amounts) to most of the area.
We will see tropical storm force winds as early as late Monday night into Tuesday night. The current track has Isaias moving up the east coast and bringing the storm center right over parts of the area. The NHC “cone” has the center of the storm just off the New Jersey Coast.

Some uncertainty continues regarding the future track, intensity, and timing of this storm which will also affect the ultimate impacts for our region.

Confidence is high that increased swells and rip current risk along the coasts will arrive this weekend and continue through at least Wednesday.

Tropical storm conditions are possible, primarily for coastal locations and the adjacent waters Tuesday into Tuesday night.

Heavy rain leading to flooding is a concern even for areas outside the tropical storm force wind conditions, and is our greatest concern with this storm.


NWS Rainfall forecast

Greater PHila Severe Weather LOGO

Daily Forecast Aug 3, 2020

Have a great Monday. Starting tonight we will see winds pick up and rain move in ahead of Isaias.

Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89.

Monday NightShowers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Low around 73.

Hurricane Isaias Update

The Greater Philadelphia Severe Weather team is tracking Hurricane Isaias from our location in Fairless Hills, Pa. While at this hour the track and intensity of the storms impacts to our area are unknown, confidence is increasing that we will see impacts from the storm.

At this point the main threat for our area is Tropical Storm Force winds (39mph to 73mph) starting Monday night and lasting until Tuesday night. The greatest threat at this time will be along the coast. Heavy rainfall will also become a major concern Monday night through late Tuesday night.

Impacts:

Winds- Strong potential for damaging winds across a large portion of the area, Monday night through Tuesday night.

Flooding Rains– Threat of flooding rains Monday night through Tuesday night across Eastern PA, NJ and Delaware.

Early indications and models are showing possible 2-4″ of rain across most of the area with localized areas up to 6″ of rain across parts of the east coast.

We will bring you the latest updates as the storm gets closer. At this point prepare for the power outages across parts of the area. If you are planning on going down the shore this weekend, we advise you not to go into the water due to swells and rip currents.

Greater PHila Severe Weather LOGO

Weekend Forecast Aug 1 & 2, 2020

Have a great weekend, Our teams will be keeping a close eye on #HurricanIsaias this weekend.

Saturday
A slight chance of showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88.

Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72.

Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 91.

Sunday NightA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74.